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跳空下行 42crmo合金管期货价格承压

文章出处:http://bagsbig.com 发表时间:2017/6/9 9:33:45 点击:4

42crmoHEJINGUAN

  上周五,黑色系商品期货价格集体回调,螺纹钢期货1710合约盘中******跌幅超过6%,在日K线上留下跳空下行的长阴线。我们综合分析政策、供需、盘面博弈等多方面因素后认为,42crmo合金管价格后市承受的回调压力较大。

  JINQI,GUOJIASHELIXIONGANXINQUDEXIAOXIWUYISHIJINRONGSHICHANGSHANG***ZHONGBANG、***YINRENGUANZHUDEXIAOXI,SHEHUIKUCUNFANYINGLEZHONGJIANSHANGHUANJIEDECUNLIANG,ERZHONGDIAN42crmoHEJINGUANQIYEKUCUNFANYINGDESHISHENGCHANSHANGHUANJIEDECUNLIANG。YEJIUSHISHUO,DANGQIANSHENGCHANHUANJIEKUCUNHEZHONGJIANHUANJIEKUCUNTONGBIJUNCHENGXIANZENGZHANGZHUANGTAI,QIEZHONGJIANHUAN JIEKUCUNTONGBIZENGJIAFUDUZAI20%YISHANG。ZHEIGURANYOUQUNIANTONGQIJISHUJIAODIDEYINSUZAIQIZUOYONG,DANZONGHELIANGGEHUANJIEDEHEJINGANGGUANKUCUNSHUJU,BIZHERENWEIDANGQIANKUCUNYALICHUXIAN,XUYAOTIFANGSHICHANGYUQIDEZHUAN HUAN。

  ZONGTIERYAN,42crmoHEJINGUANSHICHANGGONGXUGEJUYIJINGFASHENGBIANHUA,GONGYINGYALISHANGSHENGERXUQIUJIJIANGJIANDINGHUOYIJINGJIANDING,GONGXUGEJUZHENGZAIHUOYIJINGZHUANWEIGONGDAYUQIUZHUANGTAI,ZHEISHIDELUOWENGANGQIJIAMIANLINZHEJIAODADEYALI。DANGQIANJULIRB1705HEYUEDEJIAOGEHAIYOUYIGEYUEZUOYOUDESHIJIAN,ZAIQIHUO42crmoHEJINGUANSHICHANGSHENDUTIESHUIDEGEJUXIA,KONGTOUZHIZUOCANGDANSHIBUHUASUANDE,ERRUOBUJINXINGSHIWUJIAO GEERXUANZEPINGCANGLICHANG,ZEPINGCANGDONGZUOKENENGTUISHENGQIJIA,ZHEISHIDUANQINEIDUIQIJIAGOUCHENGZHICHENGDEYINSUZHIYI。

  综上所述,我们认为,雄安新区的规划建设在中短期内对于钢材市场供需面的实际影响有限,而供给侧结构性改革的推进对供应端的影响尚待验证;通过 对数据的梳理,笔者发现供应增量较为明显,合金钢管供需格局向供大于求的方向转变,对期价构成压制;期货深度贴水,空头制作仓单成本较高,盘面博弈有利于多头,这 或能成为短期内的支撑因素。总之,我们对螺纹钢后期走势保持谨慎,42crmo合金管价格或将延续弱势。

文章来源:bagsbig.com        获取更多山东钢材厂家资讯